Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-09-29 0.000173 0.000187 0.000202 0.000218 0.000237 0.000257 0.000281
2024-10-06 0.000151 0.000172 0.000194 0.000222 0.000255 0.000293 0.000342
2024-10-13 0.000140 0.000163 0.000191 0.000226 0.000269 0.000323 0.000395
2024-10-20 0.000128 0.000153 0.000183 0.000223 0.000274 0.000340 0.000434
2024-10-27 0.000123 0.000150 0.000183 0.000228 0.000290 0.000372 0.000493
2024-11-03 0.000113 0.000140 0.000175 0.000222 0.000289 0.000380 0.000521
2024-11-10 0.000107 0.000134 0.000169 0.000219 0.000291 0.000393 0.000555
2024-11-17 0.000100 0.000127 0.000163 0.000215 0.000291 0.000402 0.000585
2024-11-24 0.000096 0.000123 0.000160 0.000215 0.000297 0.000420 0.000631
2024-12-01 0.000092 0.000120 0.000157 0.000214 0.000302 0.000436 0.000676
2024-12-08 0.000089 0.000118 0.000157 0.000217 0.000311 0.000461 0.000736
2024-12-15 0.000085 0.000113 0.000152 0.000213 0.000311 0.000470 0.000772
2024-12-22 0.000082 0.000110 0.000149 0.000213 0.000315 0.000488 0.000827
2024-12-29 0.000080 0.000108 0.000149 0.000215 0.000326 0.000517 0.000910
2025-01-05 0.000078 0.000107 0.000149 0.000219 0.000339 0.000552 0.001009
2025-01-12 0.000075 0.000103 0.000145 0.000216 0.000340 0.000565 0.001065
2025-01-19 0.000074 0.000103 0.000147 0.000222 0.000356 0.000608 0.001195
2025-01-26 0.000070 0.000098 0.000141 0.000216 0.000351 0.000610 0.001229
2025-02-02 0.000067 0.000095 0.000138 0.000213 0.000351 0.000621 0.001288
2025-02-09 0.000065 0.000092 0.000134 0.000209 0.000348 0.000627 0.001336
2025-02-16 0.000063 0.000090 0.000133 0.000209 0.000354 0.000651 0.001434
2025-02-23 0.000061 0.000088 0.000131 0.000208 0.000358 0.000672 0.001527
2025-03-02 0.000060 0.000087 0.000131 0.000210 0.000367 0.000706 0.001669